# Possibility

> Possibility is mapped as the turning: it moves a condition through interpretation, organization, action, countermove, and settlement.

| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Stable ID | `node:kiduna:political-change:change-sequence:possibility` |
| Family | Political Change Sequence |
| Domain | Strategy |
| Kind | mechanism |
| Archetypal function | The Turning |
| Epistemic status | synthesis; supported |

## Concrete anchor

Possibility belongs to the **Political Change Sequence** family. It is treated as a specific political object, role, institution, tactic, event, ideology, or mechanism before any symbolic transfer is made.

## What it does

Possibility moves a condition through interpretation, organization, action, countermove, and settlement, changing who can act, what becomes visible, and which costs are distributed to others.

## Who gains and who loses power

The mechanism can increase the capacity of actors able to use Possibility, while shifting cost, delay, risk, exclusion, or dependence toward actors with less authority, information, organization, money, or safe access. The distribution is conditional, not an essence of the node.

## Archetypal function

**The Turning.** Possibility is mapped as the turning: it moves a condition through interpretation, organization, action, countermove, and settlement.

## Gift

shows where an intervention can alter a trajectory; through Possibility, that capacity becomes available for deliberate use.

## Wound / Shadow

encourages linear stories for recursive and path-dependent change; Possibility can then reproduce the very arrangement it claims to change.

## Conditions

- scale and jurisdiction are explicit
- affected people and absent stakeholders are named
- time horizon and countermoves are considered

## Strategic meaning

Use Possibility to identify the operative target, resource, dependency, decision forum, and likely countermove. Ask what would make the mechanism stronger, weaker, more legitimate, or less necessary.

## Divinatory meaning

The Turning enters through Possibility. Read for the capacity seeking expression, the cost displaced from view, and the relationship that changes if the frame moves.

**Question:** What changes when Possibility becomes the unit of analysis rather than background?

## Game function

**leverage.** Reveal one hidden dependency connected to Possibility; another player names a countermove. Initiative 1.

## Relationships

- **translates into — Grievance:** Grievance translates into Possibility by changing authority, participation, resources, information, legitimacy, timing, or the cost of cooperation. _(synthesis; supported)_
- **enables — Interpretation:** Possibility enables Interpretation by changing authority, participation, resources, information, legitimacy, timing, or the cost of cooperation. _(synthesis; supported)_
- **translates into — Coalition Government:** Possibility translates into Coalition Government by changing authority, participation, resources, information, legitimacy, timing, or the cost of cooperation. _(interpretive; tentative)_
- **legitimizes — Get Out the Vote:** Get Out the Vote legitimizes Possibility by changing authority, participation, resources, information, legitimacy, timing, or the cost of cooperation. _(interpretive; tentative)_

## Countermaps and polarity prompts

- Read Possibility from the viewpoint of the actor who bears its cost.
- Reverse cause and symptom: what if Possibility is an effect of the system it appears to drive?
- Change the clock: what looks different over a day, an election cycle, a generation, and a century?
- Ask when the Gift becomes the Wound through scale, secrecy, intensity, latency, or unequal reciprocity.

## Epistemic and Sentinel note

Claim layers: synthesis, interpretive, symbolic_divinatory. Scope, jurisdiction, period, and source perspective may change the claim.
No node-specific Sentinel factors were recorded; ordinary source, audience, and context checks still apply.

## Visual direction

A text-free enamel expression of Possibility: one dominant mechanism, one counterforce, raised warm-metal linework, midnight field, restrained civic red, teal, ivory, and amber. No party logo, national flag, sacred symbol, or recognizable person.

## Research / provenance

- [Why Civil Resistance Works](https://cup.columbia.edu/book/why-civil-resistance-works/9780231156820) — Erica Chenoweth and Maria J. Stephan, 2011. Comparative study of violent and nonviolent campaigns, with scope and coding limits.
- [Introduction to Political Science](https://openstax.org/details/books/introduction-political-science) — OpenStax, 2022. Comparative institutions, political behavior, and public policy foundations.

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Engine Output version 1.0.0; generated 2026-08-24T00:00:00Z. Sentinel annotations are stored separately in `sentinel/handoffs.json`.
